Part of What will Trump say during Netanyahu event on Monday?
Will Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
44.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 57.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$112.20
Liquidity
$366.48
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
86%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
43%
Spread
2.00% (465bps)
Depth
$366
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
"Hamas" or "Hezbollah" | 92.5% | Trade |
"phase two" or "second phase" | 75.5% | Trade |
"Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times | 74.5% | Trade |
"Bibi" 3+ times | 72.5% | Trade |
"eighth war" or "eight wars" | 66.0% | Trade |
"Turkey" or "Erdogan" | 62.5% | Trade |
"Syria" | 55.5% | Trade |
"real peace" or "legitimate peace" | 55.5% | Trade |
"border" | 54.5% | Trade |
"hell" | 52.0% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a bilateral meeting with Benyamin Netanyahu on December 29, 2025 (see https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/8/trump-to-host-netanyahu-at-white-house-on-december-29-israeli-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Israeli Prime Minister on December 29, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the Israeli Prime Minister (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
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