Part of Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
29.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 79.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$328.74
Liquidity
$180.96
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
42%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
21%
Spread
16.00% (7619bps)
Depth
$181
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Trump visit Florida | 98.8% | Trade |
Trump visit Iowa | 75.0% | Trade |
Trump visit Ohio | 73.5% | Trade |
Trump visit California | 72.5% | Trade |
Trump visit Arizona | 54.5% | Trade |
Trump visit New Mexico | 53.5% | Trade |
Trump visit Connecticut | 52.5% | Trade |
Trump visit North Carolina | 52.0% | Trade |
Trump visit Oregon | 49.1% | Trade |
Trump visit Illinois | 49.0% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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