Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

Q: IL-02 Democratic Primary Winner - Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

Current market consensus shows a 83% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Mar 17, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

83.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 57.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$43.14

Liquidity

$78.06

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

86%

Market Microstructure

Mid

43%

Spread

80.00% (18605bps)

Depth

$78

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Mar 17, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Adal Regis	45.5%	Trade
Robert Peters	45.0%	Trade
Sidney Moore	44.0%	Trade
Donna Miller	43.0%	Trade
Eric France	40.5%	Trade
Willie Preston	8.5%	Trade
Jesse Jackson Jr	8.0%	Trade
Yumeka Brown	7.0%	Trade
Toni Brown	6.5%	Trade
Patrick Keating	6.5%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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