Part of What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Will "Downton Abbey: A New Era" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Q: What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? - Will "Downton Abbey: A New Era" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Current market consensus shows a 36% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #13593·0 on watchlist

Resolves Dec 30, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

36.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 78.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$35.00

Liquidity

$348.45

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

44%

Market Microstructure

Mid

22%

Spread

28.00% (12727bps)

Depth

$348

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 30, 2025

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
"Wake Up Dead Man"	36.5%	Trade
"Cover-Up"	25.0%	Trade
"Eden"	22.5%	Trade
"Downton Abbey: A New Era"	22.0%	Trade
"The Best You Can"	22.0%	Trade
"The Grinch"	15.5%	Trade
"Goodbye June"	11.0%	Trade
"Movie B"	-	Trade
"Movie E"	-	Trade
"Movie G"	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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