Part of Golden Globes: Best Actor – Drama Winner
Will Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
9.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$158.68
Liquidity
$7,055.77
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
10%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
4.9%
Spread
8.10% (16364bps)
Depth
$7.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 11, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) | 69.7% | Trade |
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) | 23.0% | Trade |
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) | 5.5% | Trade |
Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine) | 5.0% | Trade |
Oscar Isaac (Frankenstein) | 2.3% | Trade |
Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) | 0.3% | Trade |
Paul Mescal (Hamnet) | - | Trade |
Daniel Day-Lewis (Anemone) | - | Trade |
Colin Farrell (Ballad of a Small Player) | - | Trade |
Matthew McConaughey (The Lost Bus) | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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