Part of Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations

Will Edward Berger be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
4.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$103.20
Liquidity
$3,077.97
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
5%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.6%
Spread
2.90% (11373bps)
Depth
$3.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Paul Thomas Anderson
98.9%Trade
Chloé Zhao
90.5%Trade
Ryan Coogler
86.5%Trade
Jafar Panahi
81.5%Trade
Joachim Trier
60.5%Trade
Josh Safdie
46.0%Trade
Guillermo del Toro
32.5%Trade
Yorgos Lanthimos
16.0%Trade
Park Chan-wook
7.0%Trade
Clint Bentley
5.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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