Part of Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31?

Rank #5976·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolved Sep 30, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
3.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$49,597.79
Liquidity
$6,993.61
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
4%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.2%
Spread
1.60% (7273bps)
Depth
$7.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Resolved Sep 30, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
December 31
2.2%Trade
September 30
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.

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