Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

Rank #8890·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
1.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.3% Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
Total Volume
$103,498.98
Liquidity
$6,818.99
Thin
Volatility
Confidence (R²)

Market Info

Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes
BearishNeutralBullish

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 see (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 10% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,396,126,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

Trending in General

No trending events found.