Current YES Probability
1.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
$96,292.42
Liquidity
$5,357.80
Thin
Volatility
—
Confidence (R²)
—
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 (see https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 5% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,751,467,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Trending in Politics
No trending events found.

