Part of Elon Musk # tweets January 1 - January 3, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?
Resolves Jan 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
43.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 70.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$32.16
Liquidity
$152.00
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
59%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
30%
Spread
27.00% (9153bps)
Depth
$152
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 3, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 1 12:00 PM ET to January 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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