Part of Elon Musk # tweets December 26 - January 2, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Rank #2817·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 2, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
13.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 87.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$17,588.08
Liquidity
$6,255.07
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
25%

Market Microstructure

Mid
13%
Spread
1.00% (800bps)
Depth
$6.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 2, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
300-319
12.5%Trade
320-339
12.5%Trade
340-359
10.8%Trade
280-299
9.5%Trade
360-379
8.6%Trade
240-259
7.5%Trade
260-279
7.5%Trade
380-399
6.3%Trade
220-239
5.5%Trade
400-419
4.2%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 26 12:00 PM ET to January 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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