Part of Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Rank #6471·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 6, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
5.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,355.36
Liquidity
$4,312.93
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
8%

Market Microstructure

Mid
4.0%
Spread
2.00% (5000bps)
Depth
$4.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 6, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
320-339
13.0%Trade
340-359
13.0%Trade
360-379
12.0%Trade
380-399
9.0%Trade
400-419
4.0%Trade
440-459
3.5%Trade
420-439
3.4%Trade
180-199
2.5%Trade
460-479
0.9%Trade
480-499
0.9%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 30 12:00 PM ET to January 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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