Part of Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in January 2026?

Rank #6410·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
3.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.2% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,554.27
Liquidity
$1,977.52
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
4%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.9%
Spread
3.30% (17838bps)
Depth
$2.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Musk post 480-499
1.8%Trade
Musk post 360-379
0.7%Trade
Musk post 300-319
0.6%Trade
Musk post 340-359
0.6%Trade
Musk post 380-399
0.6%Trade
Musk post 100-119
0.4%Trade
Musk post 320-339
0.4%Trade
Musk post 0-19
0.4%Trade
Musk post 280-299
0.4%Trade
Musk post 20-39
0.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of January 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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