Part of Who will acquire TikTok?

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Rank #7016·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
4.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.1% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$49,309.29
Liquidity
$3,850.10
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
6%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.9%
Spread
3.00% (10345bps)
Depth
$3.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will AppLovin
8.8%Trade
Will Amazon
7.3%Trade
Will Meta
4.9%Trade
Will Microsoft
3.9%Trade
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
2.9%Trade
Will Walmart
1.8%Trade
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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