Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Rank #9957·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
21.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 80.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,379.30
Liquidity
$2,944.82
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
40%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
20%
Spread
2.00% (1000bps)
Depth
$2.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
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