Part of Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner

Will Elpo win Supernova 2026?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 14, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
10.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 93.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$5.00
Liquidity
$749.73
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
13%

Market Microstructure

Mid
6.5%
Spread
7.00% (10769bps)
Depth
$750
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 14, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will Emilija
49.0%Trade
Will Kautkaili
27.0%Trade
Will Atvara
24.0%Trade
Will Miks Galvanovskis
21.0%Trade
Will Jānis Rugājs
20.5%Trade
Will Legzdina
7.0%Trade
Will Elpo
6.5%Trade
Will Robert Ox
6.5%Trade
Will Tikasha Sakama
6.0%Trade
Will Contestant D
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Latvia: Supernova 2026, who will represent Latvia in the 2026 Eurovision song contest. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Latvia: Supernova 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Supernova rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Supernova (https://eurovisionworld.com/national/latvia/supernova-2026), including live footage of Supernova 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%