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Part of GA-14 special election winner?

Will Elvis Casely win the GA-14 special election?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 15, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
10.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$80.00
Liquidity
$222.07
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
11%

Market Microstructure

Mid
5.7%
Spread
10.40% (18246bps)
Depth
$222
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 15, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Colton Moore
62.0%Trade
Jason Anavitarte
6.3%Trade
Kasey Carpenter
6.3%Trade
Chuck Hufstetler
6.2%Trade
Elvis Casely
5.7%Trade
Star Black
5.5%Trade
Marcus Flowers
4.7%Trade
Trey Kelley
4.7%Trade
Uloma Ekpete Kama
4.7%Trade
Clarence Blalock
4.7%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.

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