Part of Paris Mayoral Election

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Rank #10195·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
43.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 58.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$36,202.53
Liquidity
$5,765.43
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
83%

Market Microstructure

Mid
42%
Spread
3.00% (723bps)
Depth
$5.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Rachida Dati
55.5%Trade
Emmanuel Grégoire
41.5%Trade
Pierre-Yves Bournazel
3.2%Trade
Sarah Knafo
1.1%Trade
Sophia Chikirou
0.9%Trade
Thierry Mariani
0.4%Trade
David Belliard
0.3%Trade
Éric Grégoire
-Trade
Person 2
-Trade
Person 3
-Trade

Resolution Rules

The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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