Part of Paris Mayoral Election
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
43.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 58.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$36,202.53
Liquidity
$5,765.43
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
83%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
42%
Spread
3.00% (723bps)
Depth
$5.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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