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Part of Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Rank #8642·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Oct 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
20.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 83.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$5,209.68
Liquidity
$7,183.96
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
34%

Market Microstructure

Mid
17%
Spread
6.00% (3529bps)
Depth
$7.2k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Oct 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Kylian Mbappé
27.5%Trade
Harry Kane
19.7%Trade
Lamine Yamal
18.0%Trade
Erling Haaland
17.0%Trade
Vinícius Júnior
6.5%Trade
Pedri
4.0%Trade
Cole Palmer
4.0%Trade
Jude Bellingham
3.6%Trade
Mohamed Salah
3.1%Trade
Ousmane Dembélé
2.8%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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