Part of Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
8.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 93.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,986.79
Liquidity
$3,056.74
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
13%

Market Microstructure

Mid
6.5%
Spread
3.10% (4806bps)
Depth
$3.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026
56.0%Trade
Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day
14.0%Trade
Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day
12.5%Trade
Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day
9.8%Trade
Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day
8.0%Trade
Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day
6.5%Trade
Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day
6.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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