Part of FIFA World Cup Group I Winner

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rank #9176·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 27, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
70.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 31.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$6,912.46
Liquidity
$4,698.93
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
63%

Market Microstructure

Mid
69%
Spread
3.00% (438bps)
Depth
$4.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 27, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
France
68.5%Trade
Norway
23.5%Trade
Senegal
9.0%Trade
the winner of the Bolivia/Iraq/Suriname playoff
0.4%Trade
another team
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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