Part of Oscars 2026: Achievement in Casting Nominations
Will Francine Maisler (Sinners) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Rank #11613·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
88.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 15.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$3,238.28
Liquidity
$2,479.44
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
30%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
85%
Spread
6.00% (706bps)
Depth
$2.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) | 94.0% | Trade |
Francine Maisler (Sinners) | 85.0% | Trade |
Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) | 78.0% | Trade |
Nina Gold (Hamnet) | 69.0% | Trade |
Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) | 51.5% | Trade |
Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) | 51.0% | Trade |
Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) | 29.0% | Trade |
Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) | - | Trade |
Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada (Rental Family) | - | Trade |
Margery Simkin (Avatar: Fire and Ash) | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Achievement in Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Achievement in Casting when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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