Part of Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Fred Heurtebise win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?

Q: Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Fred Heurtebise win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?

Current market consensus shows a 21% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist

Resolves Aug 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

21.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 88.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$80.00

Liquidity

$68.43

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

23%

Market Microstructure

Mid

12%

Spread

19.00% (16522bps)

Depth

$68

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Aug 4, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Mike Rogers	77.0%	Trade
Fred Heurtebise	11.5%	Trade
Andrew Kamal	10.5%	Trade
Kent Benham	9.0%	Trade
Bernadette Smith	7.5%	Trade
Genevieve Scott	5.5%	Trade
another candidate	-	Trade
Candidate A	-	Trade
Candidate B	-	Trade
Candidate C	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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