Part of Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025?
Rank #9776·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$21,494.39
Liquidity
$6,701.39
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.50%
Spread
0.20% (4000bps)
Depth
$6.7k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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