Part of Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a 2028 presidential run?

Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Nov 14, 2028 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
37.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 70.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$861.30
Liquidity
$556.40
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
74%

Market Microstructure

Mid
34%
Spread
7.00% (2090bps)
Open Interest
1,040 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Nov 14, 2028
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Gavin Newsom
37.0%Trade
J.B. Pritzker
16.0%Trade
Pete Buttigieg
13.0%Trade
Andy Beshear
12.0%Trade
Josh Shapiro
7.0%Trade
Wes Moore
6.0%Trade
Jon Ossoff
6.0%Trade
Gretchen Whitmer
5.0%Trade
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
4.0%Trade
Kamala Harris
3.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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