Will Geno Smith win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Q: NFL MVP - Will Geno Smith win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Current market consensus shows a 0% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Feb 18, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

0.1%0.0% (24h)

NO: 100.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$22,483.52

Liquidity

$27,739.58

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

—

Spread

—

Depth

$27.7k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Feb 18, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Matthew Stafford	76.6%	Trade
Drake Maye	16.8%	Trade
Trevor Lawrence	1.3%	Trade
Caleb Williams	0.7%	Trade
Sam Darnold	0.3%	Trade
Jordan Love	0.3%	Trade
Bo Nix	0.2%	Trade
Aaron Rodgers	0.1%	Trade
Brock Purdy	0.1%	Trade
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	0.1%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is named the 2025–26 NFL regular season MVP. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 NFL MVP is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trending in Sports

Spurs vs. Thunder

+0.0%

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

+0.0%

Rockets vs. Lakers

+0.0%