Part of What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?

Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?

Rank #15038·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
84.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 56.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$49.68
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
87%

Market Microstructure

Mid
44%
Spread
81.00% (18621bps)
Depth
$50
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
$3,800-$4,200
49.0%Trade
$4,200-$4,600
48.0%Trade
$4,600-$5,000
48.0%Trade
$5,000-$5,400
47.5%Trade
$5,800-$6,200
46.5%Trade
$5,400-$5,800
45.5%Trade
>$6,200
45.5%Trade
<$3,800
43.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

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