Part of Gold (GC) above ___ end of January?

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Rank #15038·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
97.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 49.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$44.87
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
99%

Market Microstructure

Mid
51%
Spread
93.00% (18416bps)
Depth
$45
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
$5,200
51.0%Trade
$4,800
51.0%Trade
$4,400
51.0%Trade
$4,600
50.5%Trade
$6,500
50.5%Trade
$5,500
50.5%Trade
$5,000
50.5%Trade
$4,200
50.5%Trade
$4,000
50.5%Trade
$3,600
50.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during January on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

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