Part of #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?

Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?

Rank #9275·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 26, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
9.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,530.80
Liquidity
$1,337.98
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
10%

Market Microstructure

Mid
5.0%
Spread
9.70% (19596bps)
Depth
$1.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 26, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Google Gemini
47.5%Trade
ChatGPT
29.0%Trade
Shop: All your favorite brands
7.5%Trade
Threads
5.1%Trade
Google
5.0%Trade
CapCut: Photo & Video Editor
3.6%Trade
Amazon Prime Video
3.5%Trade
YouTube
0.3%Trade
another app
-Trade
App A
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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