Part of Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Rank #5604·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 85.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$51,490.27
Liquidity
$2,987.10
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
29%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
15%
Spread
3.00% (2069bps)
Depth
$3.0k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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