Part of #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?

Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?

Rank #14841·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 2, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
49.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 71.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$10.00
Liquidity
$335.60
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
58%

Market Microstructure

Mid
29%
Spread
40.00% (13793bps)
Depth
$336
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 2, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
ChatGPT
72.5%Trade
Google
31.0%Trade
Google Gemini
29.0%Trade
Threads
29.0%Trade
Shop: All your favorite brands
9.0%Trade
Amazon Prime Video
9.0%Trade
CapCut: Photo & Video Editor
8.5%Trade
YouTube
5.0%Trade
App J
-Trade
App C
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Trending in General

#1
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Maduro out in 2025?
+0.0%