Part of Texas Governor Republican Primary Winner

Will Greg Abbott win the 2026 Texas Governor Republican primary election?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
97.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 12.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$110.39
Liquidity
$444.92
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
24%

Market Microstructure

Mid
88%
Spread
18.00% (2045bps)
Depth
$445
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 3, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Greg Abbott
88.0%Trade
Mark Goloby
8.0%Trade
Pete Chambers
7.5%Trade
Candidate A
-Trade
Candidate C
-Trade
Candidate E
-Trade
Candidate G
-Trade
Candidate I
-Trade
Candidate K
-Trade
Candidate M
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Texas, scheduled to take place on March 3, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Texas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Texas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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