Part of New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Q: New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner - Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Current market consensus shows a 21% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #2886·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jun 2, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

21.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 81.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$40,533.20

Liquidity

$1,218.69

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

37%

Market Microstructure

Mid

19%

Spread

5.00% (2703bps)

Depth

$1.2k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 2, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Steve Lanier	32.0%	Trade
Greg Hull	18.5%	Trade
Susana Martinez	15.5%	Trade
Duke Rodriguez	12.0%	Trade
Brian Cillessen	7.0%	Trade
Belinda Robertson	6.5%	Trade
Mark Murphy	5.0%	Trade
John Sanchez	4.5%	Trade
Judith Nakamura	4.0%	Trade
Candidate B	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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