Current YES Probability
4.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$59,386.68
Liquidity
$4,743.27
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
7%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
3.3%
Spread
2.40% (7273bps)
Depth
$4.7k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download in the U.S by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The application must be officially released by xAI (or Elon Musk via official xAI/Grok communication channels).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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