Part of The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Actress - Film

Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 7, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
83.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 50.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$38.24
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
100%

Market Microstructure

Mid
50%
Spread
66.00% (13200bps)
Depth
$38
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 7, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Jessie Buckley
82.7%Trade
Rose Byrne
75.5%Trade
Cynthia Erivo
60.0%Trade
Renate Reinsve
53.5%Trade
Gwyneth Paltrow
50.0%Trade
Odessa A'zion
50.0%Trade
Emma Stone
49.0%Trade
Lucy Liu
28.5%Trade
Teyana Taylor
11.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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