Part of Golden Globes: Best Motion Picture – Drama Winner

Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Rank #10380·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
49.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 57.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,152.84
Liquidity
$1,313.91
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
86%

Market Microstructure

Mid
43%
Spread
12.00% (2791bps)
Depth
$1.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 11, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Hamnet
43.0%Trade
Sinners
37.0%Trade
It Was Just an Accident
13.8%Trade
Sentimental Value
11.8%Trade
The Secret Agent
10.4%Trade
Frankenstein
10.4%Trade
One Battle After Another
-Trade
No Other Choice
-Trade
Springsteen Deliver Me from Nowhere
-Trade
The Smashing Machine
-Trade

Resolution Rules

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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