Part of Harvey Weinstein prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
4.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.9% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$6,099.94
Liquidity
$1,157.52
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
8%

Market Microstructure

Mid
4.1%
Spread
1.60% (3902bps)
Depth
$1.2k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
no prison time
41.5%Trade
between 20 and 30 years in prison
23.1%Trade
between 10 and 20 years in prison
23.0%Trade
between 5 and 10 years in prison
10.6%Trade
more than 30 years in prison
4.1%Trade
less than 5 years in prison
2.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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