Part of TX-28 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Henry Cuellar be the Democratic nominee for TX-28?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
91.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 35.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$120.00
Liquidity
$342.20
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
71%

Market Microstructure

Mid
65%
Spread
53.00% (8217bps)
Depth
$342
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 3, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Henry Cuellar
64.5%Trade
Ryan Trevino
12.9%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade
Candidate F
-Trade
Candidate H
-Trade
Candidate J
-Trade
Candidate L
-Trade
Candidate N
-Trade
another candidate
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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