Part of Speed Chess Championship 2025–2026 Winner

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Rank #11077·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 9, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 85.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$15,145.66
Liquidity
$6,319.47
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
30%

Market Microstructure

Mid
15%
Spread
2.00% (1333bps)
Depth
$6.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 9, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Magnus Carlsen
65.0%Trade
Alireza Firouzja
18.0%Trade
Hikaru Nakamura
15.0%Trade
Denis Lazavik
3.5%Trade
Hans Moke Niemann
-Trade
Wesley So
-Trade
Fabiano Caruana
-Trade
Praggnanandhaa R
-Trade
Ian Nepomniachtchi
-Trade
Anish Giri
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies. If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

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