Part of Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?

Q: Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30? - Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?

Current market consensus shows a 16% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

16.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 89.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$2,783.67

Liquidity

$404.74

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

22%

Market Microstructure

Mid

11%

Spread

10.00% (9091bps)

Depth

$405

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Will Tunisia	47.5%	Trade
Will Bangladesh	38.5%	Trade
Will Iraq	30.0%	Trade
Will Venezuela	17.0%	Trade
Will Malaysia	15.5%	Trade
Will Syria	14.5%	Trade
Will Saudi Arabia	14.0%	Trade
Will Indonesia	11.0%	Trade
Will Kuwait	11.0%	Trade
Will Afghanistan	10.0%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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