Part of Golden Globes: Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture Winner
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
26.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 81.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$180.97
Liquidity
$679.76
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
38%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
19%
Spread
14.00% (7368bps)
Depth
$680
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 11, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) | 45.0% | Trade |
Amy Madigan (Weapons) | 21.0% | Trade |
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) | 19.0% | Trade |
Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good) | 14.7% | Trade |
Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value) | 10.4% | Trade |
Emily Blunt (The Smashing Machine) | 2.4% | Trade |
Jennifer Lopez (Kiss of the Spider Woman) | - | Trade |
Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another) | - | Trade |
Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners) | - | Trade |
Regina Hall (One Battle After Another) | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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