Part of Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Rank #11948·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 15, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
17.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 85.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$16,669.79
Liquidity
$6,590.13
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
30%

Market Microstructure

Mid
15%
Spread
4.00% (2667bps)
Depth
$6.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 15, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Teyana Taylor
49.5%Trade
Amy Madigan
25.7%Trade
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
15.0%Trade
Ariana Grande
4.5%Trade
Gwyneth Paltrow
3.5%Trade
Elle Fanning
2.5%Trade
Wunmi Mosaku
1.5%Trade
Laura Dern
0.4%Trade
Emily Blunt
0.4%Trade
Rebecca Ferguson
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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