Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Rank #3459·0 on watchlist
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
13.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 86.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
$2,830.39
Liquidity
$4,415.39
Thin
Volatility
—
Confidence (R²)
—
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | YES Price | NO Price | Volume (24h) | Liquidity | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | $1,185.73 | $4,415.39 | Trade |
Resolution Rules & Criteria
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Trending in General
No trending events found.