Part of Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
12.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 89.6% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$191.56
Liquidity
$225.48
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
21%

Market Microstructure

Mid
10%
Spread
5.00% (4808bps)
Depth
$225
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
June 30
10.4%Trade
December 31
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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