Part of SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Will Jack Ellison be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 9, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
81.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 55.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2.11
Liquidity
$150.88
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
89%

Market Microstructure

Mid
45%
Spread
73.00% (16404bps)
Depth
$151
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 9, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Mark Smith
48.0%Trade
Sam McCown
48.0%Trade
Justin Myers
47.5%Trade
Logan Cunningham
47.0%Trade
Alex Pelbath
46.5%Trade
Jack Ellison
44.5%Trade
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
44.5%Trade
Jay Byars
44.5%Trade
Dan Brown
44.0%Trade
another candidate
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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