Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Q: NBA Most Improved Player Winner - Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Current market consensus shows a 40% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14386·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

39.5%0.0% (24h)

NO: 74.7%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$433.58

Liquidity

$656.55

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

51%

Market Microstructure

Mid

25%

Spread

28.40% (11225bps)

Depth

$657

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 30, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Deni Avdija	31.5%	Trade
Jalen Johnson	25.3%	Trade
Carlton Carrington	10.1%	Trade
Josh Giddey	7.5%	Trade
Trey Murphy III	3.6%	Trade
Chet Holmgren	3.5%	Trade
Kevin Porter	3.0%	Trade
Brandon Miller	3.0%	Trade
Andrew Nembhard	2.5%	Trade
Alperen Sengun	2.4%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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