Part of VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 16, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
49.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 75.1% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$89.11
Liquidity
$277.99
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
50%

Market Microstructure

Mid
25%
Spread
48.30% (19437bps)
Depth
$278
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 16, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Elaine Luria
68.0%Trade
James Osyf
24.9%Trade
Patrick Mosolf
6.0%Trade
Burk Stringfellow
5.0%Trade
Nila Devanath
5.0%Trade
Nicolaus Sleister
5.0%Trade
Matt Strickler
4.9%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade
Candidate F
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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