Part of Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Q: Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner - Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Current market consensus shows a 39% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Mar 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

39.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 62.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$10,844.93

Liquidity

$24,998.94

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

76%

Market Microstructure

Mid

38%

Spread

2.00% (526bps)

Depth

$25.0k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Mar 3, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
James Talarico	61.5%	Trade
Jasmine Crockett	38.0%	Trade
Michael Swanson	0.3%	Trade
Colin Allred	0.3%	Trade
Beto O'Rourke	0.3%	Trade
Emily Morgul	0.2%	Trade
Person D	-	Trade
Person F	-	Trade
Person H	-	Trade
Person J	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trending in Politics

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

+0.0%

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

+0.0%

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

+0.0%