Part of Critics Choice Awards: Best Picture Winner

Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
4.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.2% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$130.75
Liquidity
$479.44
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
6%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.9%
Spread
3.90% (13684bps)
Depth
$479
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 4, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
One Battle After Another
72.5%Trade
Sinners
9.5%Trade
Marty Supreme
6.3%Trade
Frankenstein
4.6%Trade
Wicked: For Good
4.4%Trade
Train Dreams
3.9%Trade
Hamnet
3.9%Trade
Sentimental Value
3.4%Trade
Jay Kelly
2.9%Trade
Bugonia
1.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Picture. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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