Part of Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves May 19, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
93.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 10.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$213.42
Liquidity
$197.49
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
21%

Market Microstructure

Mid
90%
Spread
7.00% (782bps)
Depth
$197
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
May 19, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Jeff Merkley
89.5%Trade
Jacob Ryan
0.4%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate F
-Trade
Candidate M
-Trade
Candidate E
-Trade
Candidate G
-Trade
Candidate A
-Trade
Candidate C
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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